Republican House majority increases to 220 with victory in California

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The Republican House majority in the next Congress increased to 220 on Tuesday, as Republican Kevin Kiley defeated his Democratic opponent, Kermit Jones, in the close race for California’s 3rd Congressional District.

The Associated Press called the race for Kiley Tuesday afternoon, two weeks after voters went to the polls to cast their ballots in the eastern California district. Kiley, a member of the California State Assembly, won with 53 percent of the vote.

Kiley’s victory brings the Republican House majority to 220, while Democrats currently hold 212 seats. Three races remain uncalled by the AP: California’s 13th district, Alaska’s at-large district and Rep. Lauren Boebert’s (R) Colorado district.

While the AP has not called Boebert’s race, which appears headed for a recount with Boebert holding a slight edge, her Democratic challenger Adam Frisch admitted Fridayand said he believed the outcome of the election was unlikely to change.

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Alaska’s Great District appears to be called Wednesday night, when the state’s elections department reveals the final unofficial results of the latest round under its ranked-choice system. Rep. Mary Peltola (D) is expected to hold on to the seat she nabbed in the August special election to unseat the late Rep. Don Young’s term in Congress.

Peltola currently has a significant lead over her two Republican opponents, Sarah Palin and Nick Begich. Alaska’s fairly recent switch to a ranked-choice system leaves the race up in the air pending final results.

If no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote in the ranked-choice system, the candidate with the lowest number of votes is eliminated and voters’ ballots are redistributed to their second choice.

In the August primary, many Palin and Begich voters chose Peltola as their second choice over the other Republican. If a similar dynamic plays out, it could again give the seat to the Democrat, even if the two Republican candidates had more votes combined.

In California’s 13th District, Republican John Duarte currently leads his Democratic opponent, Adam Gray, by fewer than 600 votes with 99 percent of the vote.

If the final three districts go the way they are currently leaning, Republicans would control 222 seats, while Democrats would hold 213 seats. This would be the mirror image of the slim majority in the House that the Democrats achieved in the 2020 elections.

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