As voters prepare to go to the polls on Thursday in two by-elections, Sir Ed Davey proposed that his party “could be on the brink of a historic victory” in the southwestern constituency – and toppled a majority of 24,000 Tory.
The second vote will be held in Wakefield – a “red wall” seat Sir Keir Starmer hope to grab back for Labor after it fell to the Tories in the 2019 election for the first time since the constituency was created in 1932.
It told Conservative MPs The independent on weekends a double defeat in midterm elections on Thursday would be a “disaster” for they fought Boris Johnsonwho with difficulty and hardly survived a no-confidence motion fourteen days ago.
Entering The independentpoll expert Professor Sir John Curtice believes Labor “should have a bit of a hard time” winning the midterm elections in Wakefield by achieving a fluctuation of just under 4 per cent.
Many Tory MPs are privately expects a “major defeat” in the Yorkshire constituency following a poll conducted by JL Partners earlier this month, Labor candidate Simon Lightwood gave a 20-point lead over his Tory rival, Nadeem Ahmed.
Sir John said a 20-point lead – representing a swing of around 14 per cent – is “probably the kind of result the party should achieve if it is to suggest it may be able to pose a greater threat to the conservatives than it did in the last three parliamentary elections ”.
In Tiverton and Honiton, however, the pollster warned that success for the Liberal Democrats “is by no means guaranteed” and that the collapse of Labor support in the constituency “could well be decisive for the outcome”.
He added: “The party is still not stronger in the national polls than it was at the last general election – so it is entirely dependent on the momentum it can generate locally. Success does not only depend on its ability to gain the support of disgruntled conservatives, but also the tactical support of those who would otherwise vote for Labor. “
The former Conservative minister Kenneth Baker tore into Mr Johnson at a pre-election event and said he had “no vision or strategy” and led his party to defeat.
Lord Baker, Tory President under Margaret Thatcher, said Britain was calling for “a healer”, like Harold MacMillan in the 1950s – but that is not the Prime Minister’s approach.
“Boris does not do healing – he does confrontation, which he is very good at. But that is not the feeling and mood in the country at the moment, ”said the peer.
Johnson is “mostly worried about headlines the following day,” he said, adding, “I do not see how it will get better if he survives for another two years.”
Vince cabletold the former Liberal Democrat minister, the event, organized by the betting company $ marketsthat the Prime Minister could be tempted by a “risky” autumn election.
“He is a gambling man, he has played successfully in the past,” said Sir Vince, adding that there are rumors that preparations are underway.
Before voters start going to the polls, Sir Ed said voters in Tiverton and Honiton are “tired of Boris Johnson’s lies and neglect”, with families also facing sky-high energy bills and rising food prices.
“This is a once-in-a-generation chance to end years of neglect and get a better deal for Devon by supporting the Liberal Democrats and Richard Foord,” he insisted.
“We could be on the brink of a historic victory, but it is now neck and neck between the Liberal Democrats and the Conservatives, and every vote will count.”
But when he spoke in the Commons on Wednesday on the Prime Minister’s question, Mr Johnson seemed optimistic about his party’s prospects.
He told MPs that he “had absolutely no doubt” that people in both constituencies “would much rather vote for a solid Conservative government than for a Labor party, their founders and aides in the Liberal Democrats, the Karmacamaeons in British politics”.
The Tiverton and Honiton midterm elections were triggered earlier this year following the resignation of former Tory MP Neil Parish, who was in the midst of a political storm after admitting to seeing pornography in the Commons chamber.
A vote was also triggered in the Wakefield seat, where the Tories have a majority of 3,358, after former Conservative MP Imran Ahmad Khan was jailed following a April conviction for sexually assaulting a 15-year-old boy.